2018 Academy Awards (90th): Predictions - Who Will Win vs Who Should Win.
- Elliot David Foster
- Mar 3, 2018
- 5 min read

Award season reaches it's denouement in 2018, in the form of the always memorable Academy Awards. If last months Golden Globes were anything to go by, returning host Jimmy Kimmel will have his fair share of topics to satirize; whilst also poking fun at leasts years disastrous best picture slip-up. But if you're like me, all of the political statements and celebrity gossip aren't what make the OSCARS such compulsive viewing: here's an opportunity to see richly talented people awarded for a variety of different films, whether its a final acting nod for Gary Oldman's turn as Winston Churchill in DARKEST HOUR, or could it be a second win for Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, (add to that the most open best picture race in recent memory), there's plenty of potential for upsets to warrant a tune in.
Though it's almost impossible to predict the mind processes' of the Hollywood elite -as has been evident these past few years -but here's my best guesses, from someone who was seen everything listed below (i've left out some of the animated shorts as i'm yet to see them here, and I wouldn't even know how to judge make-up and hairstyling) - as to whom and which film's are likely to walk home with gold tomorrow night, on ABC 8E/5P.
Best Picture:
“Call Me by Your Name” “Darkest Hour” “Dunkirk” “Get Out” “Lady Bird” “Phantom Thread” “The Post” “The Shape of Water” “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
WILL WIN: THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI.
SHOULD WIN: THE SHAPE OF WATER
Lead Actor:
Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name” Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread” Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out” Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour” Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”
WILL WIN: GARY OLDMAN, The Darkest Hour
SHOULD WIN: TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET, Call Me By Your Name
Lead Actress:
Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water” Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya” Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird” Meryl Streep, “The Post”
WILL WIN: FRANCES McDORMAND, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
SHOULD WIN: FRANCES McDORMAND, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
Supporting Actor:
Willem Dafoe, “The Florida Project” Woody Harrelson, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” Richard Jenkins, “The Shape of Water” Christopher Plummer, “All the Money in the World” Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
WILL WIN: SAM ROCKWELL, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
SHOULD WIN: SAM ROCKWELL, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actress:
Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound” Allison Janney, “I, Tonya” Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread” Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird” Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water”
WILL WIN: ALLISON JANNEY, "I, TONYA"
SHOULD WIN: ALLISON JANNEY, "I, TONYA"
Director:
“Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan “Get Out,” Jordan Peele “Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig “Phantom Thread,” Paul Thomas Anderson “The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro
WILL WIN: GUILLERMO DEL TORO, "The Shape of Water"
SHOULD WIN: CHRISTOPHER NOLAN, "Dunkirk"
Animated Feature:
“The Boss Baby,” Tom McGrath, Ramsey Ann Naito “The Breadwinner,” Nora Twomey, Anthony Leo “Coco,” Lee Unkrich, Darla K. Anderson “Ferdinand,” Carlos Saldanha “Loving Vincent,” Dorota Kobiela, Hugh Welchman, Sean Bobbitt, Ivan Mactaggart, Hugh Welchman
WILL WIN: COCO
SHOULD WIN: COCO
Adapted Screenplay:
“Call Me by Your Name,” James Ivory “The Disaster Artist,” Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber “Logan,” Scott Frank & James Mangold and Michael Green “Molly’s Game,” Aaron Sorkin “Mudbound,” Virgil Williams and Dee Rees
WILL WIN: Call Me By Your Name - James Ivory
SHOULD WIN: The Disaster Artist, Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber
Original Screenplay:
“The Big Sick,” Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani “Get Out,” Jordan Peele “Lady Bird,” Greta Gerwig “The Shape of Water,” Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Martin McDonagh
WILL WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Martin Mcdonagh
SHOULD WIN: Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig
Cinematography:
“Blade Runner 2049,” Roger Deakins “Darkest Hour,” Bruno Delbonnel “Dunkirk,” Hoyte van Hoytema “Mudbound,” Rachel Morrison “The Shape of Water,” Dan Laustsen
WILL WIN: Blade Runner 2049, Roger Deakins
SHOULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049, Roger Deakins
Best Documentary Feature:
“Abacus: Small Enough to Jail,” Steve James, Mark Mitten, Julie Goldman “Faces Places,” JR, Agnès Varda, Rosalie Varda “Icarus,” Bryan Fogel, Dan Cogan “Last Men in Aleppo,” Feras Fayyad, Kareem Abeed, Soren Steen Jepersen “Strong Island,” Yance Ford, Joslyn Barnes
WILL WIN: Faces Places, JR, Agnés Varda, Rosalie Varda
SHOULD WIN: Faces Places, JR, Agnés Varda, Rosalie Varda
Best Foreign Language Film:
“A Fantastic Woman” (Chile) “The Insult” (Lebanon) “Loveless” (Russia) “On Body and Soul (Hungary) “The Square” (Sweden)
WILL WIN: The Square (Sweden)
SHOULD WIN: The Square (Sweden)
Film Editing:
“Baby Driver,” Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss “Dunkirk,” Lee Smith “I, Tonya,” Tatiana S. Riegel “The Shape of Water,” Sidney Wolinsky “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Jon Gregory
WILL WIN: Baby Driver, Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss
SHOULD WIN: Baby Driver, Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss
Sound Editing:
“Baby Driver,” Julian Slater “Blade Runner 2049,” Mark Mangini, Theo Green “Dunkirk,” Alex Gibson, Richard King “The Shape of Water,” Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Ren Klyce, Matthew Wood
WILL WIN: Baby Driver, Julian Slater
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk, Alex Gibson, Richard King
Sound Mixing:
“Baby Driver,” Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin “Blade Runner 2049,” Mac Ruth, Ron Bartlett, Doug Hephill “Dunkirk,” Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, Gary A. Rizzo “The Shape of Water,” Glen Gauthier, Christian Cooke, Brad Zoern “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Stuart Wilson, Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick
WILL WIN: Baby Driver,” Mary H. Ellis, Julian Slater, Tim Cavagin
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk,” Mark Weingarten, Gregg Landaker, Gary A. Rizzo
Production Design:
“Beauty and the Beast,” Sarah Greenwood; Katie Spencer “Blade Runner 2049,” Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola “Darkest Hour,” Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer “Dunkirk,” Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis “The Shape of Water,” Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau
WILL WIN: The Shape of Water,” Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau
SHOULD WIN: The Shape of Water,” Paul D. Austerberry, Jeffrey A. Melvin, Shane Vieau
Original Score:
“Dunkirk,” Hans Zimmer “Phantom Thread,” Jonny Greenwood “The Shape of Water,” Alexandre Desplat “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” John Williams “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” Carter Burwell
WILL WIN: The Shape of Water,” Alexandre Desplat
SHOULD WIN: Dunkirk,” Hans Zimmer
Original Song:
“Mighty River” from “Mudbound,” Mary J. Blige “Mystery of Love” from “Call Me by Your Name,” Sufjan Stevens “Remember Me” from “Coco,” Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez “Stand Up for Something” from “Marshall,” Diane Warren, Common “This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman,” Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
WILL WIN: This Is Me” from “The Greatest Showman,” Benj Pasek, Justin Paul
SHOULD WIN: Mystery of Love” from “Call Me by Your Name,” Sufjan Stevens
Costume Design:
“Beauty and the Beast,” Jacqueline Durran “Darkest Hour,” Jacqueline Durran “Phantom Thread,” Mark Bridges “The Shape of Water,” Luis Sequeira “Victoria and Abdul,” Consolata Boyle
WILL WIN: “Phantom Thread,” Mark Bridges
SHOULD WIN: “Phantom Thread,” Mark Bridges
Visual Effects:
“Blade Runner 2049,” John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, Gerd Nefzer “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2,” Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Jonathan Fawkner, Dan Sudick “Kong: Skull Island,” Stephen Rosenbaum, Jeff White, Scott Benza, Mike Meinardus “Star Wars: The Last Jedi,” Ben Morris, Mike Mulholland, Chris Corbould, Neal Scanlan “War for the Planet of the Apes,” Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, Joel Whist
WILL WIN: Blade Runner 2049,” John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, Gerd Nefzer
SHOULD WIN: Blade Runner 2049,” John Nelson, Paul Lambert, Richard R. Hoover, Gerd Nefzer
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